17 11 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1156 137 Strength Momentum |
1085 41.7(53) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Manzano | 0.000 | 915 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1045 | 82% | |
08/26/15 | at Cibola | 0.000 | 1232 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1053 | 34% | |
08/29/15 | at Eldorado | 0.000 | 1150 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1012 | 48% | |
09/01/15 | Del Norte | 0.001 | 798 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1017 | 93% | |
09/03/15 | Highland ?? | 0.001 | 917 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-4) | 977 | 85% | |
09/12/15 | Valencia ? | 0.006 | 1075 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1006 | 67% | |
09/15/15 | at Belen | 0.007 | 593 | W 5- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1086 | 98% | |
09/18/15 | Carlsbad | 0.019 | 1095 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 1066 | 63% | |
09/19/15 | Miyamura | 0.019 | 696 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1066 | 96% | |
09/23/15 | Valley | 0.039 | 1096 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-2) | 1066 | 63% | |
09/26/15 | at Rio Grande !! | 0.060 | 943 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1109 | 78% | |
10/01/15 | Del Norte ! | 0.082 | 798 | W 4- 0 | Expected (0) | 1168 | 93% | |
10/03/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.050 | 1350 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 939 | 23% | |
10/07/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.206 | 1422 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1199 | 12% | |
10/10/15 | at Valley | 0.291 | 1096 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1135 | 57% | |
10/14/15 | Rio Grande | 0.400 | 943 | W 4- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1090 | 82% | |
10/22/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.661 | 1350 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1212 | 18% | |
10/23/15 | Albuquerque | 0.328 | 1422 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1027 | 15% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals West Mesa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1085, while
West Mesa's "weighted playing strength" is 1133
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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