2015 Season results for West Mesa (BV,5-6A)

17   11   3
Rank in
State, Class, District
1156     137
Strength     Momentum
1085   41.7(53)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  6W   10L   2T 
District  2W   5L   1T 
Expected  12:   0+   6- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at Manzano 0.000915T 1- 1 Worse (-2)1045 82%
08/26/15 at Cibola 0.0001232L 0- 3 Expected (-2)1053 34%
08/29/15 at Eldorado 0.0001150L 1- 4 Expected (-3)1012 48%
09/01/15 Del Norte 0.001798W 2- 1 Expected (-3)1017 93%
09/03/15 Highland ?? 0.001917L 0- 1 Worse (-4) 977 85%
09/12/15 Valencia ? 0.0061075L 0- 2 Worse (-3)1006 67%
09/15/15 at Belen 0.007593W 5- 1 Expected (-1)1086 98%
09/18/15 Carlsbad 0.0191095L 1- 2 Worse (-2)1066 63%
09/19/15 Miyamura 0.019696W 3- 0 Expected (-2)1066 96%
09/23/15 Valley 0.0391096L 3- 4 Worse (-2)1066 63%
09/26/15 at Rio Grande !! 0.060943W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1109 78%
10/01/15 Del Norte ! 0.082798W 4- 0 Expected (0)1168 93%
10/03/15 Atrisco Heritage 0.0501350L 0- 6 Expected (-4) 939 23%
10/07/15 at Albuquerque 0.2061422L 0- 2 Expected (+1)1199 12%
10/10/15 at Valley 0.2911096T 2- 2 Worse (0)1135 57%
10/14/15 Rio Grande 0.400943W 4- 3 Expected (-1)1090 82%
10/22/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.6611350L 1- 2 Expected (+1)1212 18%
10/23/15 Albuquerque 0.3281422L 0- 5 Expected (-3)1027 15%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals West Mesa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1085, while
West Mesa's "weighted playing strength" is 1133
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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